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Learn more about bidirectional Unicode charactersOriginal file line number Diff line number Diff line change @@ -20,6 +20,10 @@ H4 { color: #9ed9d8; } a { color: #9ED9D8; font-weight: 300; } p { font-variant: small-caps; font-weight: bold; @@ -43,7 +47,7 @@ <meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=iso-8859-1" /> </head> <body> <p> <a href=http://kegn.info>kegn.info home</a></p> <br><h2>How Much Bitcoin Should I Own to Acheive Carnivory?</h2><p>As the bitcoin-n-beef market emerges, the race-to-the-bottom of meat production will subside</p><h4>Numbers at a glance:</h4><ul><li>675000 new btc per year until 2020</li> <li>3 pounds of beef a day</li> <li>327029000 people in the US</li></ul><h4>Global Beef Availability</h4><table cellpadding="3"><tr><th>encapsulate</th> <th>action</th> <th>qty in kilograms</th></tr> <tr><td>global</td> <td>production</td> <td>567897622200</td></tr> <tr><td>global</td> <td>export</td> <td>9162565470</td></tr></table><h4>Current Plans by Influential Entities</h4><table cellpadding="3"><tr><th>Region</th> <th>Hopes to</th> <th>But</th></tr> <tr><td>China</td> <td>increase imports by 11%</td> <td>A weaker U.S. dollar could further bouy beef exports</td></tr> <tr><td>Mexico</td> <td>take advantage of elevated US supplies</td> <td>A weaker U.S. dollar could further bouy beef exports</td></tr> <tr><td>Canada</td> <td>take advantage of elevated US supplies</td> <td>A weaker U.S. dollar could further bouy beef exports</td></tr> <tr><td>Japan</td> <td>take advantage of elevated US supplies</td> <td>Australian tarrif makes for US competition</td></tr></table><h4>Cattle Trade Summary (In Heads of Cattle)</h4><table cellpadding="3"><tr><th>Year</th> <th>Away from US</th> <th>Into US</th></tr> <tr><td>2013</td> <td>2033000</td> <td>16100</td></tr> <tr><td>2014</td> <td>2358000</td> <td>10800</td></tr> <tr><td>2015</td> <td>1984000</td> <td>73000</td></tr> <tr><td>2016</td> <td>1708000</td> <td>69000</td></tr> <tr><td>2017</td> <td>1815000</td> <td>120000</td></tr> <tr><td>2018</td> <td>1925000</td> <td>135000</td></tr></table><h2>What does it mean?</h2><p>Let's look at what we know so far</p><ul><li>The USA is importing more</li> <li>The USA is exporting less</li> <li>The world wants USA Beef</li> <li>The US Dollar is weakening</li></ul><h4>From a Bitcoiner's perspective :</h4><ul><li>The USA is outsourcing more production</li> <li>The USA needs more beef within its borders</li> <li>There is a high global demand for beef</li> <li>The average US farmer is tied to a collapsing dollar</li></ul><h4>Cattle in Coins (per annum) :</h4><table cellpadding="3"><tr><td>1800</td> <td> btc mined per day in</td> <td> 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>365 </td> <td> days in </td> <td> 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>----</td> <td>--------------------------------</td> <td>---</td></tr> <tr><td>657000</td> <td> new btc in </td> <td> 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>1 </td> <td> pound per meal in </td> <td> 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>3 </td> <td> meals per day in </td> <td> 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>365 </td> <td> days per year in </td> <td> 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>----</td> <td>--------------------------------</td> <td>---</td></tr> <tr><td>1095</td> <td> pounds of beef per person </td> <td>2018</td></tr></table><table><tr><td>24500000000 pounds of beef produced on average per year in the US</td></tr> <tr><td>327029000 people in the US in 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>74.9 pounds of beef available per person</td></tr> <tr><td>1020.1 carniverious-deficit per person </td></tr> <tr><td>327029000 people in the US</td></tr> <tr><td>333602282900 total US Carnivory Deficit, aka Highest probable demand per year at current population</td></tr> <tr><td>22% Average Budget allocation for Food Cost</td></tr> <tr><td>657000 new total btc in 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>144540 new btc allocated for food</td></tr> <tr><td>327029000people in the US</td></tr> <tr><td>0.000441979 new btc theoretically available per person in the US</td></tr> <tr><td>74.9 new pounds per fair person</td></tr> <tr><td>0.000005901 new btc per new fair beef pound</td></tr> <tr><td>---------------------------------------------</td></tr> <tr><td>7.25 current US market dollars per beef pound</td></tr> <tr><td>14000 US market dollars per btc</td></tr> <tr><td>0.000005901 btc per beef pound</td></tr> <tr><td>0.0826 btc-weighted US market dollar price per beef pound</td></tr> <tr><td>---------------------------------------------</td></tr></table><p>With some quick hand-wavy napkin math, we can see that if we multiply the current btc-weighted dollar-price per beef pound by 100, we are close to the market price of beef, suggesting that the current block subsidy of 675000 bitcoin per year until 2020 still has potential for exponential growth versus the dollar.</p><p>In Summary :</p><table cellpadding="3"><tr><th>To reach Carnivory in 2020, one should have a balance available for food purchase in the amounts described below:</th></tr> <tr><td>it looks to cost about </td> <td>0.000005901 btc</td> <td>per beef pound</td></tr> <tr><td>and if one needs about </td> <td>1095 pounds</td> <td>per year</td></tr> <tr><td>then it costs about </td> <td>0.006461595 btc</td> <td>per 1-beef-year</td></tr> <tr><td>so to plan for about </td> <td>10 qty</td> <td>1-beef-years</td></tr> <tr><td>we arrive at about </td> <td>0.06461595 btc</td> <td>per 10-beef-years - absurdly assuming cost does not decrease with block reward</td></tr> <tr><td>it costs about </td> <td>14000 USD </td> <td>per btc in 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>approximate cost is </td> <td>1000 USD </td> <td>per 10-beef-years post-hyperbitcoinization</td></tr></table><table cellpadding="3"><tr><th>kegn's beef reserve</th></tr> <tr><td>btc beef address</td> <td>1beefd46iYXUKgACVYXfQU6Bd6Feqh31B</td></tr> <tr><td><td></tr> <tr><td>will use for beef post 2020</td> <td><a href='https://blockchain.info/address/1beefd46iYXUKgACVYXfQU6Bd6Feqh31B'>address on blockchain.info</a></td><<tr><td>1 beefyear</td> <td>.006461595 btc</td></tr><tr><!DOCTYPE svg PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD SVG 20010904//EN" </tr> <?xml version="1.0" standalone="no"?> <!DOCTYPE svg PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD SVG 20010904//EN" -
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Learn more about bidirectional Unicode charactersOriginal file line number Diff line number Diff line change @@ -44,86 +44,168 @@ </head> <body> <h2>How Much Bitcoin Should I Own to Acheive Carnivory?</h2><p>As the bitcoin-n-beef market emerges, the race-to-the-bottom of meat production will subside</p><h4>Numbers at a glance:</h4><ul><li>675000 new btc per year until 2020</li> <li>3 pounds of beef a day</li> <li>327029000 people in the US</li></ul><h4>Global Beef Availability</h4><table cellpadding="3"><tr><th>encapsulate</th> <th>action</th> <th>qty in kilograms</th></tr> <tr><td>global</td> <td>production</td> <td>567897622200</td></tr> <tr><td>global</td> <td>export</td> <td>9162565470</td></tr></table><h4>Current Plans by Influential Entities</h4><table cellpadding="3"><tr><th>Region</th> <th>Hopes to</th> <th>But</th></tr> <tr><td>China</td> <td>increase imports by 11%</td> <td>A weaker U.S. dollar could further bouy beef exports</td></tr> <tr><td>Mexico</td> <td>take advantage of elevated US supplies</td> <td>A weaker U.S. dollar could further bouy beef exports</td></tr> <tr><td>Canada</td> <td>take advantage of elevated US supplies</td> <td>A weaker U.S. dollar could further bouy beef exports</td></tr> <tr><td>Japan</td> <td>take advantage of elevated US supplies</td> <td>Australian tarrif makes for US competition</td></tr></table><h4>Cattle Trade Summary (In Heads of Cattle)</h4><table cellpadding="3"><tr><th>Year</th> <th>Away from US</th> <th>Into US</th></tr> <tr><td>2013</td> <td>2033000</td> <td>16100</td></tr> <tr><td>2014</td> <td>2358000</td> <td>10800</td></tr> <tr><td>2015</td> <td>1984000</td> <td>73000</td></tr> <tr><td>2016</td> <td>1708000</td> <td>69000</td></tr> <tr><td>2017</td> <td>1815000</td> <td>120000</td></tr> <tr><td>2018</td> <td>1925000</td> <td>135000</td></tr></table><h2>What does it mean?</h2><p>Let's look at what we know so far</p><ul><li>The USA is importing more</li> <li>The USA is exporting less</li> <li>The world wants USA Beef</li> <li>The US Dollar is weakening</li></ul><h4>From a Bitcoiner's perspective :</h4><ul><li>The USA is outsourcing more production</li> <li>The USA needs more beef within its borders</li> <li>There is a high global demand for beef</li> <li>The average US farmer is tied to a collapsing dollar</li></ul><h4>Cattle in Coins (per annum) :</h4><table cellpadding="3"><tr><td>1800</td> <td> btc mined per day in</td> <td> 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>365 </td> <td> days in </td> <td> 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>----</td> <td>--------------------------------</td> <td>---</td></tr> <tr><td>657000</td> <td> new btc in </td> <td> 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>1 </td> <td> pound per meal in </td> <td> 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>3 </td> <td> meals per day in </td> <td> 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>365 </td> <td> days per year in </td> <td> 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>----</td> <td>--------------------------------</td> <td>---</td></tr> <tr><td>1095</td> <td> pounds of beef per person </td> <td>2018</td></tr></table><table><tr><td>24500000000 pounds of beef produced on average per year in the US</td></tr> <tr><td>327029000 people in the US in 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>74.9 pounds of beef available per person</td></tr> <tr><td>1020.1 carniverious-deficit per person </td></tr> <tr><td>327029000 people in the US</td></tr> <tr><td>333602282900 total US Carnivory Deficit, aka Highest probable demand per year at current population</td></tr> <tr><td>22% Average Budget allocation for Food Cost</td></tr> <tr><td>657000 new total btc in 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>144540 new btc allocated for food</td></tr> <tr><td>327029000people in the US</td></tr> <tr><td>0.000441979 new btc theoretically available per person in the US</td></tr> <tr><td>74.9 new pounds per fair person</td></tr> <tr><td>0.000005901 new btc per new fair beef pound</td></tr> <tr><td>---------------------------------------------</td></tr> <tr><td>7.25 current US market dollars per beef pound</td></tr> <tr><td>14000 US market dollars per btc</td></tr> <tr><td>0.000005901 btc per beef pound</td></tr> <tr><td>0.0826 btc-weighted US market dollar price per beef pound</td></tr> <tr><td>---------------------------------------------</td></tr></table><p>With some quick hand-wavy napkin math, we can see that if we multiply the current btc-weighted dollar-price per beef pound by 100, we are close to the market price of beef, suggesting that the current block subsidy of 675000 bitcoin per year until 2020 still has potential for exponential growth versus the dollar.</p><p>In Summary :</p><table cellpadding="3"><tr><th>To reach Carnivory in 2020, one should have a balance availble for food purchase in the amounts desribed below:</th></tr> <tr><td>it looks to cost about </td> <td>0.000005901 btc</td> <td>per beef pound</td></tr> <tr><td>and if one needs about </td> <td>1095 pounds</td> <td>per year</td></tr> <tr><td>then it costs about </td> <td>0.006461595 btc</td> <td>per 1-beef-year</td></tr> <tr><td>so to plan for about </td> <td>10 qty</td> <td>1-beef-years</td></tr> <tr><td>we arrive at about </td> <td>0.06461595 btc</td> <td>per 10-beef-years - absurdly assuming cost does not decrease with block reward</td></tr> <tr><td>it costs about </td> <td>14000 USD </td> <td>per btc in 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>approximate cost is </td> <td>1000 USD </td> <td>per 10-beef-years post-hyperbitcoinization</td></tr></table><table cellpadding="3"><tr><th>kegn's beef reserve</th></tr> <tr><td>btc beef address</td> <td>1beefd46iYXUKgACVYXfQU6Bd6Feqh31B</td></tr> <tr><td><td></tr> <tr><td>1 beefyear</td> <td>.006461595 btc</td></tr><tr><!DOCTYPE svg PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD SVG 20010904//EN" </tr> <?xml version="1.0" standalone="no"?> <!DOCTYPE svg PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD SVG 20010904//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/2001/REC-SVG-20010904/DTD/svg10.dtd"> <svg version="1.0" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="111.000000pt" height="111.000000pt" viewBox="0 0 111.000000 111.000000" preserveAspectRatio="xMidYMid meet"> 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c0 -8 -7 -15 -15 -15 -8 0 -15 -7 -15 -15 0 -10 10 -15 30 -15 27 0 30 3 30 30 0 20 -5 30 -15 30 -8 0 -15 -7 -15 -15z"/> <path d="M870 225 c0 -8 -7 -15 -15 -15 -8 0 -15 -7 -15 -15 0 -8 7 -15 15 -15 10 0 15 -10 15 -30 0 -20 5 -30 15 -30 12 0 15 13 15 60 0 47 -3 60 -15 60 -8 0 -15 -7 -15 -15z"/> <path d="M360 165 c0 -33 4 -45 15 -45 11 0 15 12 15 45 0 33 -4 45 -15 45 -11 0 -15 -12 -15 -45z"/> <path d="M600 135 c0 -8 7 -15 15 -15 8 0 15 7 15 15 0 8 -7 15 -15 15 -8 0 -15 -7 -15 -15z"/> <path d="M960 135 c0 -8 7 -15 15 -15 8 0 15 7 15 15 0 8 -7 15 -15 15 -8 0 -15 -7 -15 -15z"/> </g> </svg> </table> <table cellpadding="3"><tr><th>references:</th></tr> <tr><td>Feeding Strategies, Challenge and Marketing of Beef Cattle in North Gondar Zone, Ethiopia, Malede Birhan and Yilkal Manaye, Acad. J. Nutr., 2 (3): 25-30, 2013 </td></tr> <tr><td>http://www.beefusa.org/beefindustrystatistics.aspx</td></tr> <tr><td>https://www.ams.usda.gov/market-news/daily-beef-reports</td></tr> <tr><td>http://nakamotoinstitute.org/mempool/hyperbitcoinization/</td></tr></table><p>© 01-13-2018 kegn.info</p> -
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This file contains hidden or bidirectional Unicode text that may be interpreted or compiled differently than what appears below. To review, open the file in an editor that reveals hidden Unicode characters. Learn more about bidirectional Unicode charactersOriginal file line number Diff line number Diff line change @@ -52,7 +52,7 @@ <h2>How Much Bitcoin Should I Own to Acheive Carnivory?</h2><p>As the bitcoin-n- Created by potrace 1.15, written by Peter Selinger 2001-2017 </metadata> <g transform="translate(0.000000,87.000000) scale(0.100000,-0.100000)" fill="#efface" stroke="none"> <path d="M120 645 l0 -105 105 0 105 0 0 105 0 105 -105 0 -105 0 0 -105z m180 0 l0 -75 -75 0 -75 0 0 75 0 75 75 0 75 0 0 -75z"/> <path d="M180 645 l0 -45 45 0 45 0 0 45 0 45 -45 0 -45 0 0 -45z"/> -
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Learn more about bidirectional Unicode charactersOriginal file line number Diff line number Diff line change @@ -0,0 +1,129 @@ Content-Type: text/html; charset=ISO-8859-1 <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD XHTML 1.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/xhtml1/DTD/xhtml1-transitional.dtd"> <html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" lang="en-US" xml:lang="en-US"> <head> <title>Beef-vs-Bitcoin: Affordability</title> <style type="text/css"> <!--/* <![CDATA[ */ body { font-family: verdana, arial, sans-serif; background-color: #021b21; padding-left: 5%; } H2 { color: #f6f6c9; border-bottom: 1pt solid; } H4 { color: #9ed9d8; } p { font-variant: small-caps; font-weight: bold; color: #ff99a1; } li { color: #6177ad; } table { border: #2e3340 1pt solid; color: #f6f6c9; } td { border: #2e3370 1pt dashed; font-weight: 300; } /* ]]> */--> </style> <meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=iso-8859-1" /> </head> <body> <h2>How Much Bitcoin Should I Own to Acheive Carnivory?</h2><p>As the bitcoin-n-beef market emerges, the race-to-the-bottom of meat production will subside</p><h4>Numbers at a glance:</h4><ul><li>675000 new btc per year until 2020</li> <li>3 pounds of beef a day</li> <li>327029000 people in the US</li></ul><h4>Global Beef Availability</h4><table cellpadding="3"><tr><th>encapsulate</th> <th>action</th> <th>qty in kilograms</th></tr> <tr><td>global</td> <td>production</td> <td>567897622200</td></tr> <tr><td>global</td> <td>export</td> <td>9162565470</td></tr></table><h4>Current Plans by Influential Entities</h4><table cellpadding="3"><tr><th>Region</th> <th>Hopes to</th> <th>But</th></tr> <tr><td>China</td> <td>increase imports by 11%</td> <td>A weaker U.S. dollar could further bouy beef exports</td></tr> <tr><td>Mexico</td> <td>take advantage of elevated US supplies</td> <td>A weaker U.S. dollar could further bouy beef exports</td></tr> <tr><td>Canada</td> <td>take advantage of elevated US supplies</td> <td>A weaker U.S. dollar could further bouy beef exports</td></tr> <tr><td>Japan</td> <td>take advantage of elevated US supplies</td> <td>Australian tarrif makes for US competition</td></tr></table><h4>Cattle Trade Summary (In Heads of Cattle)</h4><table cellpadding="3"><tr><th>Year</th> <th>Away from US</th> <th>Into US</th></tr> <tr><td>2013</td> <td>2033000</td> <td>16100</td></tr> <tr><td>2014</td> <td>2358000</td> <td>10800</td></tr> <tr><td>2015</td> <td>1984000</td> <td>73000</td></tr> <tr><td>2016</td> <td>1708000</td> <td>69000</td></tr> <tr><td>2017</td> <td>1815000</td> <td>120000</td></tr> <tr><td>2018</td> <td>1925000</td> <td>135000</td></tr></table><h2>What does it mean?</h2><p>Let's look at what we know so far</p><ul><li>The USA is importing more</li> <li>The USA is exporting less</li> <li>The world wants USA Beef</li> <li>The US Dollar is weakening</li></ul><h4>From a Bitcoiner's perspective :</h4><ul><li>The USA is outsourcing more production</li> <li>The USA needs more beef within its borders</li> <li>There is a high global demand for beef</li> <li>The average US farmer is tied to a collapsing dollar</li></ul><h4>Cattle in Coins (per annum) :</h4><table cellpadding="3"><tr><td>1800</td> <td> btc mined per day in</td> <td> 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>365 </td> <td> days in </td> <td> 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>----</td> <td>--------------------------------</td> <td>---</td></tr> <tr><td>657000</td> <td> new btc in </td> <td> 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>1 </td> <td> pound per meal in </td> <td> 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>3 </td> <td> meals per day in </td> <td> 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>365 </td> <td> days per year in </td> <td> 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>----</td> <td>--------------------------------</td> <td>---</td></tr> <tr><td>1095</td> <td> pounds of beef per person </td> <td>2018</td></tr></table><table><tr><td>24500000000 pounds of beef produced on average per year in the US</td></tr> <tr><td>327029000 people in the US in 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>74.9 pounds of beef available per person</td></tr> <tr><td>1020.1 carniverious-deficit per person </td></tr> <tr><td>327029000 people in the US</td></tr> <tr><td>333602282900 total US Carnivory Deficit, aka Highest probable demand per year at current population</td></tr> <tr><td>22% Average Budget allocation for Food Cost</td></tr> <tr><td>657000 new total btc in 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>144540 new btc allocated for food</td></tr> <tr><td>327029000people in the US</td></tr> <tr><td>0.000441979 new btc theoretically available per person in the US</td></tr> <tr><td>74.9 new pounds per fair person</td></tr> <tr><td>0.000005901 new btc per new fair beef pound</td></tr> <tr><td>---------------------------------------------</td></tr> <tr><td>7.25 current US market dollars per beef pound</td></tr> <tr><td>14000 US market dollars per btc</td></tr> <tr><td>0.000005901 btc per beef pound</td></tr> <tr><td>0.0826 btc-weighted US market dollar price per beef pound</td></tr> <tr><td>---------------------------------------------</td></tr></table><p>With some quick hand-wavy napkin math, we can see that if we multiply the current btc-weighted dollar-price per beef pound by 100, we are close to the market price of beef, suggesting that the current block subsidy of 675000 bitcoin per year until 2020 still has potential for exponential growth versus the dollar.</p><p>In Summary :</p><table cellpadding="3"><tr><th>To reach Carnivory in 2020, one should have a balance availble for food purchase in the amounts desribed below:</th></tr> <tr><td>it looks to cost about </td> <td>0.000005901 btc</td> <td>per beef pound</td></tr> <tr><td>and if one needs about </td> <td>1095 pounds</td> <td>per year</td></tr> <tr><td>then it costs about </td> <td>0.006461595 btc</td> <td>per 1-beef-year</td></tr> <tr><td>so to plan for about </td> <td>10 qty</td> <td>1-beef-years</td></tr> <tr><td>we arrive at about </td> <td>0.06461595 btc</td> <td>per 10-beef-years - absurdly assuming cost does not decrease with block reward</td></tr> <tr><td>it costs about </td> <td>14000 USD </td> <td>per btc in 2018</td></tr> <tr><td>approximate cost is </td> <td>1000 USD </td> <td>per 10-beef-years post-hyperbitcoinization</td></tr></table><table cellpadding="3"><tr><th>kegn's beef reserve</th></tr> <tr><td>btc beef address</td> <td>1beefd46iYXUKgACVYXfQU6Bd6Feqh31B</td></tr> <tr><td><td></tr> <tr><td>1 beefyear</td> <td>.006461595 btc</td></tr><tr><!DOCTYPE svg PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD SVG 20010904//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/2001/REC-SVG-20010904/DTD/svg10.dtd"> <svg version="1.0" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="87.000000pt" height="87.000000pt" viewBox="0 0 87.000000 87.000000" preserveAspectRatio="xMidYMid meet"> <metadata> Created by potrace 1.15, written by Peter Selinger 2001-2017 </metadata> <g transform="translate(0.000000,87.000000) scale(0.100000,-0.100000)" fill="#000000" stroke="none"> <path d="M120 645 l0 -105 105 0 105 0 0 105 0 105 -105 0 -105 0 0 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J. Nutr., 2 (3): 25-30, 2013 </td></tr> <tr><td>http://www.beefusa.org/beefindustrystatistics.aspx</td></tr> <tr><td>https://www.ams.usda.gov/market-news/daily-beef-reports</td></tr> <tr><td>http://nakamotoinstitute.org/mempool/hyperbitcoinization/</td></tr></table><p>© 01-13-2018 kegn.info</p>